2018 Predictions

All before exit polls are opened at 5:20. See my posts below for analysis and viewing guide for House here and Senate here.

House: I predict the Dems net +40, win 235 seats to 200.

Senate: Dems 51-49. Hold all seats but Heitkamp ND. Flip NV, AZ, and TN (my upset pick). Beto falls short by 1 point.

I’ll post Governors in a minute, but I’ll say Gillum wins, Abrams goes to run-off on Dec. 4.

Author: Jed Shugerman

Legal historian at Fordham Law School, teaching Torts, Administrative Law, and Constitutional History. JD/PhD in History, Yale. Red Sox and Celtics fan, youth soccer coach. Author of "The People's Courts: Pursuing Judicial Independence in America" (2012) on the rise of judicial elections in America. I filed an amicus brief in the Emoluments litigation against Trump along with a great team of historians. I'm working on "The Rise of the Prosecutor Politicians," a history of prosecutors and political ambition (a cause of mass incarceration), and "The Imaginary Unitary Executive," on the myths and history of presidential power in America.

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